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Boring-season upsets occupy trimmed the checklist of College Football Playoff contenders to seven candidates.
Georgia, Ohio Issue, Michigan and TCU build undefeated records and remain the Top Four groups heading into the final week of the routine season. They’re the evident front-runners.
Even supposing LSU has dropped two games, the SEC West champions would occupy a compelling case within the occasion that they beat Georgia for the conference title. USC is a one-loss squad with a doubtlessly impressive checklist of Top 25 triumphs.
After which, there would possibly well be the minute ol’ Clemson Tigers.
How must the CFP selection committee ogle Dabo Swinney’s team? Clemson isn’t very any longer the one-most challenging wild card within the neighborhood—that doubtlessly stands out as the mix of a tight Michigan/Ohio Issue game and LSU edging Georgia—however the eighth-ranked 10-1 Tigers are each unconvincing and undeniably a phase of the CFP bustle.
Certain, appropriate now, Clemson is within the assist of No. 7 Alabama. However the Tigers will positively soar Alabama within the occasion that they raze the season with a conference championship. So let’s switch past that.
Clemson is apt two victories over South Carolina and North Carolina a ways from disturbing a design within the discussion on Different Day. On the opposite hand, neither the season-prolonged be taught about take a look at nor popular metrics give the Tigers a promising outlook.
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Coming into the weekend, Clemson has two Top 25 wins (Florida Issue and Louisville) with a doubtless for a third against North Carolina within the ACC Championship Sport.
Among the many seven contenders, USC (58) is regarded as one of two applications with a lower energy of time desk than Clemson’s (56). That USC quantity would possibly well maybe merely rise with Notre Dame and the Pac-12 title up next. Beyond that, or no longer it is merely wonderful that Clemson—given the loss to Notre Dame—would all as we relate soar USC within the rankings if the Trojans retain winning.
The identical scenario applies to LSU, which the committee has positioned ahead of Clemson since Nov. 8. LSU upsetting Georgia within the SEC Championship Sport would overshadow something else Clemson can halt now.
Michigan holds the assorted sub-56 SOS ranking, however the Wolverines—love UGA, Ohio Issue and TCU—are unbeaten. No team owning a ideally suited document will likely be excluded from the CFP this yr.
If a right majority of results meet expectation, Clemson is out. Per what we occupy seen to this point, there would possibly well be genuinely no argument.
However you, my esteemed college soccer friend, occupy identified the 2022 season is bonkers. LSU and Notre Dame occupy risen from September graves, Arizona fearful UCLA, South Carolina walloped Tennessee, TCU is it appears to be like a zombie you can’t kill and on and on.
So, we interrogate: What if?
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What if Michigan or Ohio Issue wins in blowout sort and USC beats Notre Dame however loses within the Pac-12 Championship Sport? Would a one-loss, ACC-champ Clemson soar the loser of Michigan-Ohio Issue?
Would the Tigers hotfoot above a two-loss, Pac-12 runner-up USC no matter the Trojans owning a victory over a usual opponent?
What if TCU runs out of second-half of magic and falls within the Huge 12 Championship Sport? Does, again, a one-loss, ACC-champ Clemson leapfrog the Hypnotoad?
You clicked here waiting for considerate, effectively-reasoned prognosis, so here’s the acknowledge: I produce no longer know!
Clemson is a wrong team, leaning on a ambitious-though-no longer-elite protection to atone for an offense that usually capitalizes on red-zone journeys however is otherwise sensible in each effectivity and explosiveness.
On the assorted hand, the timing of that setback at Notre Dame would possibly well maybe be the Tigers’ saving grace. If they favor an ACC championship and at the least two of TCU, LSU and USC lack a conference crown—plus the loser of Michigan-Ohio Issue missing the Huge Ten title game—the argument for the Tigers is there.
Clemson aloof has to beat a South Carolina team that smoked Tennessee and a North Carolina team with breakout quarterback Drake Maye. There is no guarantee the Tigers defend a ways from a loss, either.
However if Clemson is no longer always genuinely phase of the chaos, the perennial ACC vitality is subtly positioned for an improbable rise.
Given the trajectory of the bonkers season to this point, on the opposite hand, it would possibly well maybe maybe no longer ceaselessly be subtle to gaze but one other nonsensical twist.